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Monday 6 July 2020

Think the 2020 election polls are accurate? Think again.




https://twitter.com/SHEPMJS

2:00  The most accurate polls get the least attention by the liberal media.

3:00  90% had already made up their mind before the last election. The election hinges on the 10%.

5:00  Are all 17 polling companies pollsters completely mistaken or just damned biased?

7:00  Polling companies pump out Democratic propaganda.

9:00  Republican voters will have a higher turnout.

9:30  9:30  Female voters and the female Trump vote. Distortions by age, education and income.

11:00  Biden head to heads conducted in basements?

14:00  Theoretical Trump landslide

15:00  Unwavering Hispanic support for Trump - over 30%. All polling showing a decrease in white female support which may be due to social reasons and natural feminine cowardice.

16:00  Trump's going to win. Key states: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and Maine. If he wins just one of those, he will be elected. Hispanic vote will probably hold up.

20:00  Accusations of being a racist misogynist Trump supporter weigh on people's minds and have made them go quiet.

21:00  "How will you vote?" v "How do you think your neighbour is going to vote?"

22:00  History and political science. Biden and Nevada

26:00  The rioting to intimidate Trump supporters is taking place only in safe Democrat states so it won't make any difference.

28:00  Only 30% of Trump voters would publicly declare their support for Trump while 70% of Biden voters are happy to declare their support for him.

29:00  Fox News poll - D+9, D+6. Change of ownership and administration at Fox

30:00  People turned off MSM

31:00  Republican landslides. Last 4 elections. Florida, Minnesota, Upstate New York

33:00  Huge swings to the Republicans

34:00  Fear theatrics of polling companies

35:00  Twitter prioritises bad polling results for Trump

37:00  All that matters is the electoral college. Wilson, Roosevelt, Hoover, Johnson, Eisenhower., Trump. They can't get him below 42% in the aggregate.

39:00  The Black Swan of the pandemic

41:00  All history is thrown out the window.

42:00  All the slaveholders were Democrats.

45:00  Black female Vice President will be Kamala Harris?

46:00  Voters in California and New York

47:00  Misreading the rural turnout in 2016

48:00  Voodoo polling

51:00  "Almost all the polls are dishonest, unethical and pure propaganda."

52:00  The crucial 10%

54:00  Libertarians

57:00  Polling companies don't want to be the odd one out. Monmouth and Reuters

58:00  The business model of polling companies: propaganda in the summer, moving to reality as the election nears.

1:00:00  Gallup, clickbait, 2016

1:01:00  The state polls were pretty much accurate. Polling companies focused on the popular vote rather than the electoral college.

1:02:00  Ridiculous Fox News poll just trolling: Trump is on the one hand one point behind in Texas but on the other hand enjoying a 51% approval rating, which is just inexplicable nonsense to get voters agitated.

1:03:00  PPP have blocked Mike Sheppard.

1:04:00  The left care more about polls than the right.

1:05:00  The most people interested in polls and pollsters live in California and New York and they have a particular mindset. They are mostly young with a not fully developed prefrontal cortex. Michael Sheppard confesses that his prefrontal cortex was not fully developed until 2008.

What is the role of the prefrontal cortex?It receives input from multiple regions of the brain to process information and adapts accordingly. The prefrontal cortex contributes to a wide variety of executive functions, including: Focusing one's attention. Predicting the consequences of one's actions; anticipating events in the environment. 
It seems I was born with a fully developed prefrontal cortex.

1:06:00 Economic realities

1:07:00  White college-educated female voters must be broken down by age.

1:08:00  White college-educated female voters are mostly in safe Democratic states.

1:10:00  New Hampshire is not a marginal state.

1:11:00  Minnesota

1:12:00  Nobody knows what's going to happen in November.

1:13:00  Polling companies rated

1:14:00  I am now his number one female follower!

1:15:00  Is conducting a poll these days anachronistic and redundant?

1:16:00  People want polls conducted to confirm their own biases and reinforce their own prejudices. There will always be a demand for this.

1:17:00  Pseudo-intellectual leftist propaganda

1:18:00  Guesswork






























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